Skip to main content

Fan Fiction

Groupo Modelo write-offs cost AbInBev $6 billion this year.
It lost another $1 billion anyway, even with the Word Cup.
This is a tinfoil hat observation, but one that's fun to make. Like all kooky theories, it begins with demonstrable facts and descends into the gap between madness and unlikelihood. 
Craft beer now has 8 percent of the market and think they can make it to 20 over the next decade. Budweiser's parent company, even bolstered by the World Cup, reported losses of more than $1 billion already this year even though revenue increased. Much of that has to do with them purchasing companies that don't run at the famous AbInBev margins, but, to be fair, the revenue boost was because of Brazil.
There won't be a World Cup next year, but there also is no craft beer revolution in South America. Or in Africa. Or Russia. There also is no NFL advertising expense in those countries.
Last week, Budweiser made an uncharacteristically frank indictment of the NFL. It was a barely-veiled threat saying it wasn't happy with the NFL's domestic abuse problem.
These all are facts, now we can get to the kookiness. It begins with a question:
Since when does Budweiser give a shit about women?

The answer, of course, can be found in their objectifying ads over the last 60 years. What Budweiser probably does care about is revenues. They're not plummeting yet, but they are slipping. There's no world where they dump the NFL, but they are positioned to cut ad expenses and look good while doing it. There are emerging markets all over the world that are cheaper and a better source of revenue than the flagging American market. The NFL contract is an expense they would love to cut and, with this announcement, Budweiser probably reduced their ad bill for the 2015 season significantly.
I love watching corporations bully one another. While craft beer is making better connections with its local markets, Big Beer is counting American pennies it would be happier to spend elsewhere anyway. I don't know if it's fair to say it ceded the remaining 12 percent craft beer thinks it can capture, but the prospect of Bud reducing the amount it spends on the drinkiest game in the country only can help craft beer.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Your browser does not support the audio element. Download this Podcast

What is in a name?

In this week's Beer with Strangers podcast , Doug Griffith of Xtreme Brewing in Laurel and I discussed the recurring news story that craft beer is running out of names . Among the concerns is that it makes it harder for new brewers to break in and it prevents smaller brewers from having big breakout beers. Craft beers allegedly have kooky names because they are the product of one brewery making many, many beers. It makes sense, at some level, to have weird names for beers. Brewers like to be distinctive, to set themselves apart. And people who like craft beer get a kick out of kooky names.  Raging Bitch made national news when there was a fight over whether it was an obscene name. Beyond that, as shelves get more crowded with bottles and cans, and as breweries continue to try and push the envelope with tastes and flavors, brewers want a name that is as distinctive as their beers. Plus, in absence of any other knowledge or review, lots of beer drinkers simply judge the beer book ...

Craft Canning Revolution?

Setting aside the 8 or 10 people who remember when beer from cans had an off flavor, the rise of craft beer in a can is probably the next bump in the craft beer market . Cans are cheaper to buy and cheaper to ship, and they hold flavor better. It is quite possible they hold flavor longer, but it's not an experiment I'm willing to try as it means arbitrarily leaving beer un-drunk. Over the last few years, the beer in a can market has grown significantly. The Genius of Mobile Canning I spoke with Augie Carton of Carton Brewing, who had canning as a major part of his original business plan. He said when he called a company to arrange to buy a canner, they directed him to one of their newest customers, a guy with a regional canning truck. Rather than have to invest in a very, very expensive and technical piece of equipment, Carton was able to contract with a company who would come out as needed, pump beer into the truck and roll filled cans out of it and into the brewery's...