|Groupo Modelo write-offs cost AbInBev $6 billion this year.|
It lost another $1 billion anyway, even with the Word Cup.
Craft beer now has 8 percent of the market and think they can make it to 20 over the next decade. Budweiser's parent company, even bolstered by the World Cup, reported losses of more than $1 billion already this year even though revenue increased. Much of that has to do with them purchasing companies that don't run at the famous AbInBev margins, but, to be fair, the revenue boost was because of Brazil.
There won't be a World Cup next year, but there also is no craft beer revolution in South America. Or in Africa. Or Russia. There also is no NFL advertising expense in those countries.
Last week, Budweiser made an uncharacteristically frank indictment of the NFL. It was a barely-veiled threat saying it wasn't happy with the NFL's domestic abuse problem.
These all are facts, now we can get to the kookiness. It begins with a question:
Since when does Budweiser give a shit about women?
The answer, of course, can be found in their objectifying ads over the last 60 years. What Budweiser probably does care about is revenues. They're not plummeting yet, but they are slipping. There's no world where they dump the NFL, but they are positioned to cut ad expenses and look good while doing it. There are emerging markets all over the world that are cheaper and a better source of revenue than the flagging American market. The NFL contract is an expense they would love to cut and, with this announcement, Budweiser probably reduced their ad bill for the 2015 season significantly.
I love watching corporations bully one another. While craft beer is making better connections with its local markets, Big Beer is counting American pennies it would be happier to spend elsewhere anyway. I don't know if it's fair to say it ceded the remaining 12 percent craft beer thinks it can capture, but the prospect of Bud reducing the amount it spends on the drinkiest game in the country only can help craft beer.